Rabu, 28 Agustus 2013

[O273.Ebook] Ebook Download Statistics: A Bayesian Perspective, by Donald A. Berry

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Statistics: A Bayesian Perspective, by Donald A. Berry

Appropriate for a one-term introductory statistics course, this text introduces statistical concepts and methods from a predominantly Bayesian perspective. It covers standard topics taking the Bayesian view that subjectivity is inevitable in science and that different conclusions from the same study are normal and stresses the advantages of this approach in scientific inference. It presents statistics as a means of integrating data into the scientific process and stresses data analysis and experimental design ideas early.

  • Sales Rank: #1118510 in Books
  • Brand: Brand: Cengage Learning
  • Published on: 1995-11-16
  • Original language: English
  • Number of items: 1
  • Dimensions: .79" h x 7.22" w x 9.32" l, 1.76 pounds
  • Binding: Hardcover
  • 518 pages
Features
  • Used Book in Good Condition

About the Author
Ph.D., Yale University

Most helpful customer reviews

27 of 29 people found the following review helpful.
nice elementary text on Bayesian methods
By Michael R. Chernick
This is an excellent introductory text designed for a first course in statistics. It covers all the topics that are typically in a first course. However, all other texts at this level take the frequentist approach to inference. A few may have sections that introduce Bayesian ideas but the Bayesian approach is a paradigm for statistical inference and as such the approach should be incorporated in all statistical topics. Berry shows that this can be done without the student having to know calculus. To understand Bayesian methods the student mainly has to know that posterior probability = likelihood x prior probability. Berry provides a good list of references for those who want to pursue more advanced topics.
This book is unique. It demonstrate that statistics can be taught from the Bayesian approach in the very beginnning. This is much like what Noether did when he wrote an introductory text in statistics taking a strict nonparametric approach.

The text is loaded with exercises and the exposition is very clear. There are many useful and entertaining diagrams. Many examples are taken from real medical problems. Medicine is an area in which Berry has done a great deal of consulting and his experience shows in his examples. This should be the text to turn to if you want an introduction to the subject. If you know the basics and want more advanced treatment go to the references mentioned in Berry's preface.

13 of 16 people found the following review helpful.
Unsuitable as an introductory text, requiring advanced mathematical understanding
By David Reilly
As a primer on Bayesian statistics for an intermediate or advanced statistics course,
Donald Berry has written a fascinating an insightful guide for the reader who enjoys
algebraic calculation and mathematical proofs. However its claims that it is
designed as "an introductory textbook on statistics" is where the reader may
be deceived. In the preface, Berry writes "mathematical level of this book is
minimal with only an exposure to high school algebra expected".

There are many excellent textbooks introducing the subject of statistics,
and aimed at people with only high school algebraic experience - this book is not
one of them however. Instructors should read this text carefully, and completely,
before even considering assigning it as reading in an introductory course.

The book itself is incredibly dense, and often the problems contained within
require extensive knowledge of statistical calculations and probability theory.
Even as a graduate student who adores statistical techniques, this is heavy going.
That is not to say that it is completely inaccessible to the reader, and would
not be an appropriate introductory text for graduate study. The reader may find
it frustrating, however, going back and learning statistics from first principles,
but will gain some insight into Bayesian probability theory.

Additionally, the book requires the use of Minitab, and does not evaluate other alternate
computer methods of calculation. If you're happy to do calculations by hand, this book
may still be of use, but at a minimum it needs to be revised and computer calculations
discussed. There are many free or online Bayesian calculators available, which you
should explore before falling back to the books hand calculations.

You may also prefer some of the many Bayesian statistics books available designed for the beginner,
such as Introduction to Bayesian Statistics, Introduction to Applied Bayesian Statistics and Estimation for Social Scientists (Statistics for Social and Behavioral Sciences)

12 of 14 people found the following review helpful.
Excellent introduction.
By A Customer
This is a truly clear and thoughtful introduction to Bayesian statistics.Nothing is taken for granted as the author leads you through examples and concepts. This was my first introduction to Bayesian statistics, and Berry makes it seem so much more reasonable and closer to real research/real life than the artifice involved in other approaches.

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Kamis, 22 Agustus 2013

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  • Published on: 1600
  • Binding: Hardcover

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Selasa, 20 Agustus 2013

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  • Sales Rank: #1702068 in Books
  • Published on: 1997
  • Number of items: 1
  • Binding: Paperback

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Sabtu, 17 Agustus 2013

[Q705.Ebook] Fee Download Ethics and Human Reproduction (RLE Feminist Theory): A Feminist Analysis, by Christine Overall

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In Ethics and Human Reproduction, Christine Overall blends feminist theory and philosophical expertise to provide a coherent analysis of a range of moral questions and social policy issues pertaining to human reproduction and the new reproductive technologies. Topics covered include: sex preselection, artificial insemination, prenatal diagnosis, abortion, in vitro fertilisation and embryo transfer, surrogate motherhood, and childbirth. Throughout the book, the author examines the values and assumptions underlying common perceptions of sexuality and fertility, the status of the foetus, the value of children, the nature of parenting, and the roles of women. In so doing, she develops a feminist approach to answering questions about reproductive rights and freedoms, the value of a genetic link between mother and their offspring, the commodification of reproduction, and the effects of reproductive technologies on women and children. This book should be essential reading for anyone interested in the new reproductive technologies, biomedical ethics, and women’s health.

  • Sales Rank: #6068541 in Books
  • Published on: 2014-07-05
  • Released on: 2014-07-04
  • Original language: English
  • Number of items: 1
  • Dimensions: 9.21" h x .60" w x 6.14" l, .0 pounds
  • Binding: Paperback
  • 264 pages

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Jumat, 16 Agustus 2013

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Yemen, in the southwestern corner of the Arabian Peninsula, has often escaped of regional and international attention. And yet its history illuminates some of the most important issues at play in the modern Middle East: from Cold War rivalries to the growth of Islamic extremism in the 1990s, and from the rise of al-Qaeda in the Arabian peninsula in the post-9/11 period to Obama-era drone strikes. Uzi Rabi looks at this country and its economic and political history through the prism of the idea of state failure. He examines Yemen's trajectory from revolutions and civil war in the 1960s to unification in the 1990s and on to the 2011 uprisings which eventually saw the fall from power of Abdullah Saleh in 2012. Accessibly written, this book is vital for those looking at the history of Yemen in the twentieth century

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Jumat, 09 Agustus 2013

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Business Process Mapping: Improving Customer Satisfaction, by J. Mike Jacka, Paulette J. Keller

Praise For Business Process Mapping: Improving Customer Satisfaction, Second Edition

"A must-read for anyone performing business process mapping! This treasure shares step-by-stepapproaches and critical success factors, based on years of practical, customer-focused experience.A real winner!"
—Timothy R. Holmes, CPA former General Auditor, American Red Cross

"Paulette and Mike make extensive use of anecdotes and real-life examples to bring alive the topic ofbusiness process mapping. From the outset, this book will engage you and draw you into the worldof business process mapping. Who would have thought that reading about business process mapping could make you smile? Well, Mike and Paulette can make it happen! Within each chapter, theauthors provide detailed examples and exhibits used to document a process. Each chapter also includes a 'Recap' and 'Key Analysis Points' which enable the reader to distill the highlights of the chapter."
—Barbara J. Muller, CPA, CFE, Senior Lecturer, School of Accountancy W. P. Carey School of Business, Arizona State University

"Keller and Jacka cut through the drudgery of process mapping with a path-breaking approach thatenables the reader to better understand processes, how they work and how they work together toward successful achievement of business objectives. With great style and flair, this book will provide youwith a different way of thinking and new tools to assist you in process analysis and improvement. This book is a must-read for auditors, risk managers, quality improvement management, and businessprocess engineers."
—Dean Bahrman, VP and Internal Audit Director (Retired) Global Financial Services Companies

"Mike Jacka and Paulette Keller show their expertise with the application of business process mappingin increasing customer service and satisfaction in this updated and expanded edition of this popular book. With clear, practical examples and applications, this book shows the writing talents of bothauthors, and it will be used over and over by those from all lines of industries and professions. Kudos for a job well done!"
—Joan Pastor, PhD, Founding Partner, Licensed Industrial-Organizational Psychologist JPA International, Inc., Beverly Hills, California

  • Sales Rank: #825725 in Books
  • Published on: 2009-07-07
  • Original language: English
  • Number of items: 1
  • Dimensions: 9.30" h x 1.12" w x 6.30" l, 1.15 pounds
  • Binding: Hardcover
  • 322 pages

From the Inside Flap
Whether you are looking for a way to createefficiencies, analyze the work that is being done, or provide better customer service or innovation, you are ultimately looking for a tool to better understand processes. A full and complete introduction toorganizational processes, growth, and businesstransformation, Business Process Mapping: Improving Customer Satisfaction, Second Edition is that tool.

Now providing more detailed work and examples related to customer mapping and enterpriserisk management (ERM), the Second Editionfocuses particularly on how objectives, risks, andkey performance indicators are fundamental tounderstanding and analyzing processes. Its case studies and a wide range of new tools, including RACI matrices, "spaghetti" maps, and the use of control flowcharts, enhance and enrich the basic work done to get you successfully mapping using a more robust approach to process analysis.

Starting with a concept that is the cornerstone of moviemaking-storyboarding-the Second Editionwalks you through the steps used in processmapping, including:

  • Working with the client to ensure that everyone has a full understanding of the processes involved
  • Learning the underlying concepts behind the process such as objectives, risks, and key controls
  • Building the actual maps that are the cornerstone of this approach
  • Using various approaches to help determine how to make the process better

This practical book discusses the complete cycle of business process mapping and links business objectives, risks, and measures of success to the processes being mapped. In addition, the Second Edition now includes questionnaires, process analysisworksheets, hierarchy/owner maps, and specific techniques to be used in developing effectiveprocess maps.

Ultimately, process mapping is a dynamic analytical technique meant to make your business run better. Drawing on their unique experience and expertise in the area of business process mapping, authors Mike Jacka and Paulette Keller reveal their simple yet powerful approach to process mapping as aneffective analysis tool-whether you are workingwithin the department, within the company, orexternally. Its holistic approach transforms flowcharting into a powerful, customer-focused tool for business improvement.

From the Back Cover
Praise for Business Process Mapping

"A delight! The holistic approach transforms flowcharting into a powerful, customer- focused tool for business improvement. The running analog to a movie storyboard enlivens what could be a dry subject and, more important, it teaches the attitude and thought process of a skilled user. A must-read for the entire audit staff."
-- James Roth, AuditTrends

"The authors cleverly use movie making and other examples to which the reader can readily relate to bring to life the important business subject of Process Mapping. The reader has fun and can better understand the concepts, techniques, uses, and holistic qualities of Process Mapping. This book represents a breakthrough in the approach to a must-know business area. In its zestful presentation, Business Process Mapping: Improving Customer Satisfaction assures us that we're not in the Kansas-of-another-dull-business-book anymore!"
-- Michael R. Plumly, Director of Internal Audit, ABB Inc.

"Without a full and complete understanding of organizational processes, growth and transformation don't happen. Jacka and Keller demystify Process Mapping through a storyboarding system that is powerful and elegant. 'Seeing' the organizational story enables employees to grasp the whole picture, how all the parts are integrated, and what needs to be changed. Analogies to popular movies help to make the concept instantly accessible. Drawing on their unique experience and expertise in the area of business Process Mapping, the authors offer a strategy with the potential to revolutionize!"
-- Anne Graham, PhD
former Editor in Chief, Internal Audit magazine
and current Managing Director of Educational and
Member Services, AACSB International

"Jacka and Keller have found a way to bring to life two critical components of auditing -- communication and comprehension. The book enables the Process Mapping facilitator to provide a delivery mechanism that reaches the heart of a customer-focused consulting approach. Throughout the discussion on Process Mapping, the reader is able to visualize practical applications with ease. This approach addresses the ever-evading theme in corporate environments -- segmentation. Jacka and Keller demonstrate how effective Process Mapping can be in teaching entire units of an organization how their job function impacts the product or service being manufactured. Even the participants gain critical knowledge and come to better understand the true value of their job."
-- Mark Brinkley, Assistant Director of Internal Audit
American Century Investments

About the Author
J. Mike Jacka, CPA, CIA, CFE, CPCU, has over twenty-five years' experience in internal audit. In his current role as Senior Audit Manager over Special Projects at Farmers Audit Insurance, he identifies and develops processes, programs, and procedures that help provide greater value to internal audit's customers. He has written numerous articles for professional publications and is a popular speaker on many subjects related to internal auditing.

Paulette J. Keller, CPA, CIA, MBA, has worked in the insurance industry for over twenty-five years. Most of that time has been in internal audit, but she has also worked with Claims, Quality Control, and Life Company Special Projects. Currently, she is the Director of Audit Data Analytics with Farmers Insurance where she has responsibility for coordinating the retrieval and analysis of company data to be used in all audit analysis, including the embedding of data analyticsthroughout the audit work. She is a sought-after speaker and instructor in such areas as operational auditing, value-added approaches, and data analytics.

Most helpful customer reviews

0 of 0 people found the following review helpful.
This book provides all of the necessary tools to start ...
By Melanie Keyser
This book provides all of the necessary tools to start mapping processes from either a customer-centric or project-centric perspective. The applications used help build confidence in mapping projects and the information is more applicable to real-world scenarios than most other process improvement analysis textbooks. This was much more reader-friendly as well in my opinion than other textbooks for this field of study.

0 of 0 people found the following review helpful.
Four Stars
By Donyel G.
needed for school

7 of 8 people found the following review helpful.
Precise Methods for Gathering Process Data
By Amazon Customer
I'm an educator in a midwest insurance company so I related easily to the author's examples which are based on Farmer's Insurance. It is easy to recognize the author's auditing background because their methods are precise and complete. I will use their written experience to conduct classes of my own. I have two observations from the book: 1. Entity types are identified as Process, Unit, Task, and Action. These correspond to Process, Subprocess, Activity, and Step which are somewhat better known; 2. The examples and case study of insurance applications will appeal to those in an identical or similar industry.

See all 7 customer reviews...

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Sabtu, 03 Agustus 2013

[D572.Ebook] PDF Ebook Leo Africanus, by Amin Maalouf

PDF Ebook Leo Africanus, by Amin Maalouf

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Leo Africanus, by Amin Maalouf

Leo Africanus, by Amin Maalouf



Leo Africanus, by Amin Maalouf

PDF Ebook Leo Africanus, by Amin Maalouf

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Often, checking out Leo Africanus, By Amin Maalouf is very boring as well as it will take very long time starting from getting the book and start reading. Nonetheless, in modern-day era, you can take the developing innovation by using the internet. By net, you could see this page and start to hunt for guide Leo Africanus, By Amin Maalouf that is required. Wondering this Leo Africanus, By Amin Maalouf is the one that you need, you could go with downloading. Have you recognized the best ways to get it?

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Leo Africanus, by Amin Maalouf

"Leo Africanus is a beautiful book of tales about people who are forced to accept choices made for them by someone else. . . It relates, poetically at times and often imaginatively, the story of those who did not make it to the New World." --New York Times Book Review

  • Sales Rank: #1456486 in Books
  • Published on: 1989-01-17
  • Original language: English
  • Number of items: 1
  • Dimensions: 8.00" h x 1.00" w x 5.00" l,
  • Binding: Hardcover
  • 360 pages

From Publishers Weekly
Through the adventures of a wise, courageous traveler, this excellent historical novel re-creates the era when the Moors were expelled from Spain, and much of North Africa and southern Europe was in turmoil. Hassan al-Wazzan was just a child the year Columbus sailed to the New World, and quarreling among Moslems led to their surrender of Granada to Catholic King Ferdinand and Queen Isabella. The gradual exile of Hassan's family from Spain is developed through recollections of his proud, erring father, his badly treated mother and her diplomat brother. As a merchant and emissary, Hassan travels from Fez to Cairo to Mecca andby misadventureto Rome and the Vatican, where he is later renamed Leo Africanus. The changes in his fortunes and family reflect shifts in the political realities of the late 14th and 15th centuries. Chronicling Hassan's political and personal lifeincluding the continuing conflict between the secular and religiousMaalouf offers a lurid history lesson in this sweeping, sympathetic portrayal of Islamic culture of the period.
Copyright 1988 Reed Business Information, Inc.

From Library Journal
Written in the form of a memoir, this historical novel explores the meeting of two worldsIslam and Christendomthrough the adventures of real-life Arab traveler and geographer Hassan al-Wazzan. Born in Spain just as the Moors were expelled in 1492, Hassan grows up in North Africa and as a young man crosses the Sahara to Timbuctu, eventually reaching Cairo on the eve of its conquest by the Ottomans. In the last of his sojourns recounted by Maalouf, Hassan arrives in the Rome of Pope Leo X, who christens him Leo Africanus. Chronicling the loves and adventures of his wandering protagonist, the author deftly weaves into Hassan's account a score of the traveler's more famous contemporaries, including Columbus, the Medicis, Martin Luther, and Suleiman the Magnificent. Enjoyable reading for general readers. L.M. Lewis, Eastern Kentucky Univ., Richmond
Copyright 1989 Reed Business Information, Inc.

Review
Leo Africanus is a beautiful book of tales about people who are forced to accept choices made for them by someone else...It relates, poetically at times and often imaginatively, the story of those who did not make it to the New World. (The New York Times)

Utterly fascinating. (BBC World Service)

Absoutely facinating―an evocation of a lost world. Leo's travels among the Moslems, Christians and Jews in his time shed startling light on our present dilemmas. (Thomas Fleming)

Most helpful customer reviews

0 of 0 people found the following review helpful.
In Leo Africanus, Maalouf delivers a masterpiece of historical fiction
By Gary Hoggatt
One might not expect a geographer to be a great inspiration for historical fiction. But when that geographer travels the lands he chronicles at a time of great upheaval and turmoil and becomes embroiled in every sort of adventure and meets major historic figures along the way, it can indeed become a lively and engaging novel. Such is the case with the titular Moorish traveler in Amin Maalouf's 1986 book, Leo Africanus.

Born as al-Hasan ibn Muhammad al-Wazzan al-Fasi in Granada in the 1490's, Hasan is forced into exile as a child after the Spanish Reconquista. This sets the tone for his life, as he's constantly on the move. He and his family move to Fez, Morocco, with other refugees, where Hasan comes of age and begins one of his many runs of success. On the way back to Fez from Timbuktu on a diplomatic mission, he happens to be in Cairo when the Ottoman Empire conquers Egypt. Later, he's abducted by Spanish pirates, taken to Rome, and sold to the Pope, who befriends him, baptizes him as Leo Africanus, and employs him as a diplomat to the Ottoman's. Oh, and at the same time as Leo is in Rome, Martin Luther is starting the Reformation. While in Italy, Leo begins the geography of Africa and an Arabic dictionary for which he is remembered.

That brief summary is just the tip of the iceberg. Maalouf does a fantastic job of placing you in the varied and exotic places Leo finds himself and really puts you right there with Leo through all his highs and lows. As exciting as the major political action is, Maalouf vividly brings to life Leo's personal journey as well. You really begin to understand the way this eternal nomad feels as the tide of fate carries him on, and the troubles and joys he finds along the way, in his family, romantic, and professional lives.

Leo Africanus really is an excellent example of historical fiction at its finest. Not only do you get to see interesting historical events up close or understand how ancient societies worked, but you get an intensely personal and touching story as well. Maalouf writes the novel in the form of a memoir from Africanus to his son, and there's a wonderful sense of introspection in the work.

Maalouf also writes beautifully. The language, the pacing, the descriptions - the novel at times almost feels like poetry, but it never veers into self-indulgence. It's even more amazing when considering that the novel was originally published in French and translated by historian Peter Sluglett, who is to be commended for rendering the work in English so well.

I highly recommend Leo Africanus. It does everything historical fiction aims for and does so in a beautiful, poetic, thoughtful voice. I certainly plan to read more from Maalouf, both historical fiction and history. He's a fantastic writer and is very talented at bringing you right into the scene, the time, the society he's describing. Alright, enough already - go get yourself a copy Leo Africanus and get started!

0 of 0 people found the following review helpful.
Engaging read
By Dr. James E. Purpura
This is a wonderful book that depicts the adventures of Leo Africanus from the fall of Granada to the sack of Rome in the 16th Century. I preferred the first part of the book that described Granada and Fez as it came alive with details. The rest of the book was an interesting narrative, fast moving and engaging, but somewhat lacking in description and coverage, so it was a little harder to relive it with him. That said, I don't want to disuade anyone from reading this wonderful book. I couldn't put it down. It's a real treat for those of us interested in the Moslem perspective on this period.

1 of 1 people found the following review helpful.
A MIXED REVIEW
By nancy a schmitz
Leo Africanus is a difficult read in that the language is unusual and, at times, hard to follow. In many ways, the words seems more important than the story itself. The hero seems weak-charactered in that he changes religions and women easly as the plot, it seems, requires. The ending seemed unsettled in that the author seemed to not know how else to end it. However, the history and religious implications were fascinating. I would recommend this book but one needs a long time to digest it.

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